Credit: DFL

Virtual Bundesliga Rundown: The way to the play-offs - VBL South-East

The Virtual Bundesliga enters the final doubleheader of Phase I. The battle for the Club Championship Finals and Final Chance Round spots is coming to a head. Learn how your team qualifies for the play-offs in this blog.

 

Never heard of Phase I, Final Chance Round and Club Championship Finals? No problem, learn all about the competition mode hier

 

After double match day 12 (03.03.21) and at the same time the penultimate match day, the table looks like this:

Find out how your team can make it to the playoffs here:

RB Leipzig

Current rank: 1

 

Pending games:

 

RB Leipzig vs. TSG Hoffenheim - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

1. FC Nürnberg vs. RB Leipzig - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 160

 

The Leipzig team already won the race for the championship on the last double matchday. Congratulations to the VBL South-East Championship and good luck at the Club Championship Final!

1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Current rank: 2

 

Pending games:

 

SV Sandhausen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 141

 

Best Case Scenario: With Heidenheim unable to win the league, the best case scenario is to secure second place and qualify directly for the Club Championship Final. To decide its own fate, 1. FC Heidenheim needs "only" 10 points. That would mean that even FC Augsburg, who are in 3rd place, would not be able to catch up with the Heidenheimers.

 

Worst Case Scenario: In the worstcase scenario, Heidenheim lose both of their remaining games. This would allow a maximum score of 129. Should FC Augsburg pick up at least 16 / 18 points in their two games at the same time, the Augsburg team would indeed have overtaken the Heidenheim team.

 

Conclusion: Heidenheim has two manageable tasks ahead of them, with Sandhausen and Darmstadt, who are bottom of the table in 9th place. Therefore, we are confident that the Heidenheim will achieve direct entry into the Club Championship final.

FC Augsburg

Current rank: 3

 

Pending games:

 

FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

FC Augsburg vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 132

 

Best Case Scenario: Since Augsburg no longer have a chance to finish in 1st place, the best case scenario is to secure direct entry into the Club Championship Final. For that to happen, the exact worst-case scenario described above for Heidenheim would have to occur. In short, Heidenheim loses twice and Augsburg picks up 16 / 18 points. Only then would direct entry into the final still be possible.

 

Conclusion: Augsburg are firmly in third place and can therefore approach the last double matchday completely stress-free. For this reason, we have not described a worst-case scenario. We believe that nothing will change for Augsburg in the standings.

Hertha BSC

Current rank: 4

 

Pending games:

 

TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hertha BSC - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 100

 

Best Case Scenario: For Hertha, the best case scenario is to win high and then hope! Hertha has only one game left to play, after which you could get to a maximum of 100 points. However, there are still four other teams that could surpass or reach this points total. Therefore, Hertha needs a win against their direct rivals Hoffenheim. Then you would be at least 97 points. To do so, Hoffenheim would also have to lose their last game, Nuremberg would only be allowed to pick up 8 / 18 points and Greuther Fürth only 11 / 18. Should at least one of these three scenarios occur, Hertha will retain a place in the play-offs in any case.

 

Worst Case Scenario: Since Hertha only has one game left and it's against a direct competitor, there are a few worst case scenarios. Should Hertha lose the remaining game against Hoffenheim, the play-offs chance dwindles quickly! This would leave the team from Berlin with a maximum of 94 points. Hoffenheim would have surpassed this mark and Nuremberg would need only 7 / 18 points, Frankfurt 8 / 9, Fürth 10 / 18 and Darmstadt 13 / 18 points to surpass this score. Only two of the last four scenarios mentioned would have to occur for Hertha to slip out of the top 6.

 

Conclusion: a win against Hoffenheim is a must! If they fail to do so, it could be difficult to participate in the play-offs. Although the situation sounds dramatic, everything is still open for Hertha on the last matchday. We are looking forward to an exciting match against Hoffenheim!

TSG Hoffenheim

Current rank: 5

 

Pending games:

 

RB Leipzig vs. TSG Hoffenheim - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hertha BSC - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 108

 

Best-case scenario: In the best-case scenario, Hoffenheim finish in 4th place. If they win both of their remaining games, this would be entirely possible. Here, the game against Hertha is especially crucial. If they were to beat the team from Berlin, then nothing should stand in the way of a play-off participation.

 

Worst-Case-Scenario: Although Hoffenheim are in pole position to make a play-off participation clear, there are still some scenarios that could show the opposite. Hoffenheim are separated by 8 points from 9th place, which to be exact is 2 points on Nuremberg, 3 on Frankfurt, 5 on Fürth and 8 points on Darmstadt. So if two teams manage to make up the points gap, Hoffenheim would have to bow out early.

 

Conclusion: Anything can still happen for Hoffenheim, especially because of the two very difficult games to come. The decisive game will come against Hertha. Here, everything could be decided not only for the two playing teams, but also for the competition.

1. FC Nürnberg

Current rank: 6

 

Pending games:

 

FC Würzburger Kickers vs. 1. FC Nürnberg - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

1. FC Nürnberg vs. RB Leipzig - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 106

 

Best-case scenario: The situation for the club is similar to that for TSG Hoffenheim. Here, too, the best-case scenario is 4th place, which they could still conquer with two wins. However, the actual goal here is to qualify for the play-offs regardless of the position. For this, they would have to either get as many points as Frankfurt in one game, get a maximum of 2 points less than Fürth or get a maximum of 5 points less than Darmstadt in the last two games. If 1. FC Nürnberg succeeds in this, they would be in the final chance round.

 

Worst Case Scenario: Again, there is a strong similarity to the Hoffenheim situation. In the worst case, one of the three remaining play-off aspirants overtakes the club. We see derby foe Greuther Fürth as the biggest competitor here. The latter would "only" need to pick up 4 more points than the 1. FCN to end up in 6th place.

 

Conclusion: Since the club still has to play against high-flyer RB Leipzig on Wednesday evening, an interesting table constellation could arise here after the 18:00 game. But also the team from Fürth has a difficult task with Augsburg on Wednesday at 20:00. We are curious about the race for 6th place!

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current rank: 7

 

Pending games:

 

FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 96

 

Best-case scenario: Even in the best-case scenario, Eintracht from Frankfurt has only a slim chance of still qualifying for the play-offs. Eintracht would definitely need to win their remaining game against a strong FCA to at least put some pressure on Fürth, Nuremberg, Hoffenheim and Hertha heading into the 8pm games. So if Eintracht manage to pull off an emphatic win against Augsburg, putting enough pressure on one of the rivals above them to drop off, the Frankfurt side could indeed still make the play-offs. Unrealistic, but possible!

 

Worst Case Scenario: In the worstcase scenario, they lose the game against Augsburg and would be as good as eliminated. With a defeat, they would stand at a maximum of 90 points, which would not be enough for a play-off participation in 99.9% of cases.

 

Conclusion: Frankfurt has to win and even then it might not be enough. A tough situation for Eintracht, but let's hope they can make the race really exciting again with a win against Augsburg!

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Current rank: 8

 

Pending games:

 

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SSV Jahn Regensburg - 10.03.21, 18:00

 

FC Augsburg vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 103

 

Best case scenario: Fürth is now 3 points behind 1. FC Nürnberg. Best case scenario: They manage to get either 4 points more than the club or 6 points more than Hoffenheim on the last double matchday. However, we see the most realistic chances of a play-off participation at the expense of Hertha BSC. Should Hertha lose their last game against Hoffenheim, they would be on a maximum of 94 points. So it's up to Fürth to break the 94 point mark and keep their fingers crossed for the Hoffenheim team. That way, they would still qualify for the play-offs.

 

Conclusion: Since Fürth are in 8th place as of today, there is no worst-case scenario. Because every scenario, which does not correspond to the best-case-scenario, would carry an early elimination with it. Still, there is hope for the Fuerthers. With a high win against SSV Jahn Regensburg, every door is still open for the Fürthers!

SV Darmstadt 98

Current rank: 9

 

Pending games:

 

SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 - 10.03.21, 16:30

 

SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 100

 

Best Case Scenario: There is still hope for a final chance round participation for Darmstadt on the last double matchday. However, Darmstadt is a full 6 points behind the playoff spots. Unlike Fürth, we see Darmstadt's only realistic path to the playoffs being past Nuremberg. For this to happen, Darmstadt will have to score 7 points more than the club on the last double matchday and at the same time hope that Greuther Fürth doesn't manage the same.

 

Conclusion: There is no worst case scenario for Darmstadt either. However, participation in the Final Chance Round is extremely unlikely. Nevertheless, there are still 18 points up for grabs and anything other than believing in it would be nonsensical. We wish the Darmstadt team the best of luck to still pull off a supposed miracle.

1. FSV Mainz 05

Current Rank: 10

 

Pending games:

 

SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 - 10.03.21, 16:30

 

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Würzburger Kickers - 10.03.21, 20:00

 

Max. Achievable points: 93

Outlook for the "Bottom 4"

For Mainz, Würzburg, Regensburg and Sandhausen, the season will come to an end after next Wednesday. Although Mainz still have a purely mathematical chance of a play-off appearance, we dare say that even with a maximum score of 93 points they would still come up short.

 

Therefore, we wish everyone a relaxing summer break and a strong comeback!